Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.088601 1.235539 1.395714 1.583400 1.797456 2.034170 2.316056
2026-01-04 0.840763 1.035052 1.265211 1.558494 1.923077 2.362432 2.933681
2026-01-11 0.726719 0.946475 1.222279 1.594936 2.087083 2.717263 3.589416
2026-01-18 0.635978 0.866898 1.170601 1.601009 2.198244 3.002028 4.173229
2026-01-25 0.557563 0.790226 1.108749 1.579081 2.260184 3.217234 4.675642
2026-02-01 0.490449 0.719480 1.044367 1.541917 2.290367 3.383355 5.117160
2026-02-08 0.434726 0.657924 0.984888 1.502482 2.308519 3.527738 5.534250
2026-02-15 0.401265 0.625276 0.963481 1.515814 2.404497 3.794155 6.162318
2026-02-22 0.367799 0.588790 0.931872 1.508588 2.465074 4.007764 6.723719
2026-03-01 0.336043 0.551641 0.895172 1.488449 2.500767 4.181642 7.233000
2026-03-08 0.300722 0.505232 0.839017 1.430050 2.465463 4.231721 7.530940
2026-03-15 0.278897 0.479266 0.814047 1.421501 2.513498 4.426272 8.100922
2026-03-22 0.264435 0.467013 0.815238 1.466124 2.673541 4.857945 9.201102
2026-03-29 0.239835 0.434995 0.779880 1.443492 2.712965 5.083617 9.959147
2026-04-05 0.226427 0.421523 0.775781 1.477135 2.860080 5.524743 11.191470
2026-04-12 0.210707 0.401970 0.758234 1.482743 2.952764 5.870271 12.274728
2026-04-19 0.193529 0.377778 0.729306 1.462495 2.990830 6.110200 13.167071
2026-04-26 0.176626 0.352367 0.695370 1.428178 2.995471 6.280925 13.930560
2026-05-03 0.161312 0.328590 0.662259 1.391760 2.991008 6.430812 14.665568
2026-05-10 0.152441 0.317094 0.652810 1.404073 3.092678 6.820544 16.000314
2026-05-17 0.142569 0.302520 0.635517 1.397399 3.151162 7.120481 17.162618
2026-05-24 0.132545 0.286647 0.613926 1.378801 3.180174 7.356012 18.199374
2026-05-31 0.120504 0.265248 0.578398 1.324863 3.120749 7.377945 18.705242